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Banking, Insurance and Financial Services
Financial Analysis Modeling and Forecasting
Overview:
Introduction:
This training program teaches advanced techniques for analyzing data, building models, and forecasting financial performance. It empowers participants to make informed decisions and strategic plans.
Program Objectives:
At the end of this ptogram, participant will be able to:
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To interpret corporate financial performance and position, use financial ratio analysis.
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Calculate the cash flow statement's financial ratios.
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Calculate the time value of money using Microsoft Excel.
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Utilize the spinner, list box, option button, and other modeling tools and functionalities in MS Excel.
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Create models and forecasts for the three primary financial statements.
Targeted Audience:
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Financial controllers.
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Analysts.
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Finance.
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Accounting managers.
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Supervisors, and finance professionals who need to interpret and analyze financial statements and use them to create financial forecast models in their organizations.
Program Outline:
Unit 1:
Financial Analysis Techniques:
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Vertical analysis and strategy.
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Horizontal, trend analysis, and growth.
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Liquidity analysis: Current, quick, and cash ratios, defensive interval, and cash conversion cycle.
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Asset management and activity ratios, Total and fixed assets turnover.
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Solvency analysis: Debt, equity, and times interest earned ratios.
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Profitability analysis: Profit margin, gross margin, return on assets, return on equity, EBITDA.
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Market and valuation: Price earnings and earnings-per-share ratios.
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DuPont analysis: The three-step and five-step models.
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Limitation of ratio analysis.
Unit 2:
Financial calculations in MS Excel:
- Time value of money:
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Present Value (PV) and Net Present Value (NPV).
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Multiple IRR (MIRR).
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Using XNPV and XIRR.
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- Effective yields and returns.
Unit 3:
Cash flow statement: Interpretation and ratio analysis:
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Cash flow categories: Operating, investing, and financing.
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Cash flow pattern; the cash cow.
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Cash-flow-related ratios.
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Quality of earnings.
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Financial management.
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Mandatory cash flow, Discretionary cash flow.
Unit 4:
Model construction techniques using Excel:
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Data tables.
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Goal seek.
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Spinner data modeling.
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List box data modeling.
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Option box data modeling.
Unit 5:
Modeling projected financial statements:
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Micro and macro factors.
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Forecasting sales: Estimating market demand, Estimating company demand, and Developing sales forecast.
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Forecasting cost of sales.
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Forecasting operating expenses.
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Forecasting key assets and liabilities accounts.
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Modeling the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement.